Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 790.732976 897.239712 1017.950053 1165.965410 1344.048991 1553.303811 1820.627148
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 652.050925 791.387344 964.618465 1200.058995 1518.560348 1945.036334 2578.569082
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 562.664210 709.137784 901.129861 1178.533752 1582.159886 2170.781949 3141.812608
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 510.460527 664.180775 875.011888 1196.509300 1696.338689 2486.498754 3932.959649
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 474.441464 634.330600 862.371282 1227.095519 1829.388435 2856.833995 4941.857755
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 438.528147 599.380602 836.263844 1230.541557 1916.210396 3167.491664 5961.570685
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 402.575466 560.004283 797.900645 1207.002597 1949.915227 3386.663860 6882.336974
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 380.853372 539.524427 785.835982 1224.322679 2058.761609 3780.090983 8406.667296
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 351.442496 504.294636 746.148492 1187.559809 2056.897250 3939.392101 9409.584065
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 327.456311 475.548416 714.113745 1159.954852 2067.584408 4129.323167 10617.532805
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 305.769499 448.763003 682.796875 1129.514422 2066.619247 4291.586430 11849.171990
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 296.867569 442.053935 684.936953 1162.443262 2207.721556 4854.479937 14951.267369
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 284.614500 430.007304 678.671133 1182.547957 2335.689083 5464.739622 19086.054017
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 273.831944 419.764123 674.963065 1208.286847 2486.652850 6223.415816 25148.559234
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 258.295080 399.936310 651.488486 1188.724489 2519.864399 6630.131907 30066.763953
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 248.868126 390.076659 645.653833 1206.364078 2654.918117 7456.982004 39706.585023
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 241.781938 383.779399 645.887943 1237.425917 2835.615113 8567.761715 55428.893629
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 232.234831 372.284977 634.834077 1240.876334 2938.853050 9444.299620 73063.314197
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 220.677948 356.314223 613.486843 1217.083059 2954.865329 9959.160185 89386.976060
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 214.109874 349.187711 609.388450 1234.594254 3106.068033 11233.453596 128036.966414
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 202.901912 332.625262 584.572264 1197.423010 3070.168921 11539.743124 151535.338496
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 193.355555 318.709321 564.292827 1169.513658 3060.380578 11999.910394 185985.476860
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 184.226684 305.117524 543.771715 1138.740514 3034.685727 12367.152048 225324.050109